Im not a physicist, chemist, or an engineer, so I cant begin to speculate about any special properties of water or granite, though electrical ones certainly dont seem to be off the table. We were lost for better part of an afternoon in spring after foolishly diving into the thick forest. What I will try to do is use my social science education and research methodology expertise to try to bring some clarity into how all of the variables in these cases seem to be connected. And dont even get me started on synchronicity and how you absolutely would want to use systemic coincidences in order to manage a simulated (or similarly controlled) world. An animal could have sneakily killed and buried the missing person. The most common report from adults, adult women specifically, is that of being stalked by weird or strange men. Missing 411: The U.F.O. In contrast, as Dave points out, to types of people who should be much more likely to drown in cities, like the homeless, but who arent involved in a single unexplained case. For example, the cases in which the missing died of major head trauma, of what was described as a possible propeller strike, even through a helmet or when there was no height to fall from hard enough. In 2019 David Produced and starred in his second documentary, Missing 411- The Hunted, a film about a series of missing hunters. If you couple it with the fact that dogs fail (or refuse) to track the victims in most of these cases, theres some slight amusing possibility that I personally like to call dogspiracy. Especially if its only about taking advantage of naturally forming bad weather, as that would then maintain its normal, statistically insignificant rate of incidence. The main analytical problem with using this as a profile point is that while it is a good place to start, the fact that the person wasnt found is a better indicator of which variables prevent people from being found, more than it is an indicator of why or how they got lost in the first place. This leaves a sudden medical emergency, or an animal or human attack, that either quickly render you unconscious, or force you to be quiet. Obviously, bad weather happening while a person is lost should also mean higher chance of them dying of exposure, but also limit the distance that the lost person can travel. When Paulides subtitled one of his book A Sobering Coincidence, Im pretty sure that he was talking about correlations elements of the cases repeating in multiple cases. Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four different countries. A type of place from which Missing 411 people tend to vanish and at which they tend to appear. Clothing really is tricky. If those exact statistics arent available, similar ones should exist to give us an estimate. The most common type of account from children is that of being taken or kept safe by some type of animal or animal-like men. David Paulides presents the haunting true stories of hunters experiencing the unexplainable in the woods of North America. Documentary. Or at least not any more mysteriously than provably falling off a cliff, and thats the only case I could find. This should definitely include basic data like demographics of the missing and the dates and times of disappearances, in addition to locations, which were already visualized as the cluster map. The main two cases involving multiple odd coincidences are the disappearance of Dennis Martin and the death of Elisa Lam. I mean, beyond the obvious connection to large bodies of water and boulder and rock formations. That obviously points to a kidnapping or assault attempt, though it doesnt clarify anything else. Though there are Missing 411 cases where that didnt help, like when a person was seen chasing a dog into the forest, which only helps explain how people can get lost more often while walking a dog. As for any data points or theories that may shed some light on why the clothing tends to be missing, the only explanations provided by the survivors of something like a Missing 411 incident are either that they removed it themselves (without understanding why and later regretting it), or the story of one little girl that a dog/wolf man ate some articles of her clothing. If theres an intelligent perpetrator behind any Missing 411 disappearances, they are likely to know when to lie in wait for people at the times and dates when theres the most opportunity. I guess I should look into places in the Czech Republic with our version of this, involving the word ert in the name. However, if your bet is that something smarter than humans (or humans smarter than you expect possible) may be involved, maybe its not such a crazy bet. The further questions are those of exact methodology. Its important to understand that when youre working against an intelligent adversary, they will try to use your statistical reasoning against you, not doing anything too frequently, so that you brush it all off as a mere coincidence, normal chance. All of the profile points should be quantified and the exact numbers published in tables, ideally in comparison with relevant control samples. If a person disappeared from a place like a pub, then the perpetrators were either lying in wait on the location, possibly cooperating with whoever is operating the establishment, or they were again following the target person beforehand and waited for him to go to a social event. Here are the most significant repeating profile points with my critical commentary as to their potential strengths and shortcomings: According to Paulides, every person should be found, especially if they are a small child or if theyre mentally or physically disabled and therefore presumably unable to travel long distances. If the person was seen, say, falling of a cliff, then that would be an explanation, just like it should be easier to find someone when youd seen where exactly they entered the forest, at what speed, and in what state of mind. Maybe if in all of the cases, the phone lost charge too quickly, it would be less strange, but thats only the case sometimes. The latter type of accounts, mainly collected by folklorists in connection to fairy lore, is consistent with natural spacetime distortions, but it can also be indicative of a special kind of traps being laid in the forest. Or Spock. Documentary 2019 1 hr 37 min. Missing 411- The Devil's in the Detail, 2014 When Paulides runs into a Pavlides when on one of these cases, a thing that has never happened to him before or since and which doesnt have to happen over an entire lifetime at all, that counts as a bit odd. I especially recommend the most recent documentary, Missing 411: The Hunted, as I have never seen such great visualization of movement through an area, plus the cases selected for this documentary are some of the most bizarre and inexplicable there are. When all you understand couldnt have happened, it points to none of that. This means that in order for this profile point to mean something more interesting, the person would have to be found despite the bad weather, in a place they shouldnt have been, and either alive when they should have died of exposure, or dead with no clear cause of death when they should have still been alive. These people should not be considered reliable witnesses, but they should have some witness testimonies to offer. Tristan White, 4 Years, Missing November 22, 2006, Minnesota. While our current medical science is far from perfect, the real number of truly unknown causes of death appears to be quite low, somewhere in the range of 1.34 per 100,000 (in the U.K.) and 15 per 100,000 (in the U.S.). Here I have to give credit to Seriah Azkath and the Snake Brothers, who pointed out the likely direction of causality regarding this profile point on a recent Where Did the Road Go show. Especially if it was research, like going places where Bigfoot might live, interviewing witnesses, collecting samples and sending them for laboratory analysis, and so on. When a Smith family runs into a Smith family, its probably no big deal. Malevolent gods could theoretically use it to mislead us, but I bet that malevolent gods have a less perfect awareness and more of a self-centered, narrow viewpoint on things. Some of the cases that meet the profile criteria do hint at abduction by neither an animal, nor a human, but others do not. Daves criteria for the sample selection seem completely reasonable to me a case being unexplained is an objective fact. This is one of the profile points that may have a completely mundane explanation, which could be proven. This type of account would go some way toward explaining the seemingly missing failure rate of the perpetrators, as these would be the cases where the predators let the captured prey go, or when their traps, even though advanced, failed. What I would say does seem obviously wrong are for example the cases of water-related disappearances and deaths in urban areas, where the young white male students figure in almost all of them. Because of this predictable universal connection, this profile point by itself doesnt necessarily mean anything strange on its own. Its not a reason to start hating a person and dismiss everything they have to say about everything else, its a reason to start talking to them. Watchlist. There are multiple instances of Starfleet observing pre-warp civilizations (which it is not allowed to interfere with due to the Prime Directive) from a secret base cloaked as part of a mountain. Medical emergency would then prevent you from wandering away very far, unless it was a psychotic break, but regardless, many of the missing were in excellent physical and mental health. Especially if the body wasnt even found by dedicated searchers, but by random hikers or passersby after the search was over. Of course, proving that the times and dates at which people get lost mysteriously are normal times at which theres an opportunity to get lost doesnt prove that the disappearances are entirely mundane. Yosemite happens to have the highest total of Missing 411 cases of any National Park. There could also be competing goods, but lets table that for now. This would also explain why it happens in only some cities you cant simply improvise it anywhere without having the infrastructure. Thats definitely the weirdest scenario. If they differ, now, that would be interesting, especially if the difference is major. Errors can be corrected. However, they may not follow that perfectly. If there is someone out there with some kind of tech doing this, the tech clearly should involve remote brain or full-body scan capability (to ascertain hidden health issues or intelligence), perception altering, and memory editing. Which sort of plays into the possibility that Dave often mentions of people dying essentially of fear, like when being kidnapped and burned by what may seem like aliens, even if it were human agents. Or any or all of that. Getting lost in a forest certainly can be a traumatic event, but exhaustion, dehydration, or hypothermia could account for hallucinations, skewed perception, or irrational behavior, but again, not so much for amnesia. This is a tough one because on one hand, I would like to believe Dave that trackers are by and large good enough to always find things like signs of struggle, but on the other hand, no one is perfect. Its basically just as magic as teleportation. At this point, I believe it is more about what direction I think should be taken in further analyzing the data. At its core, Missing411 is the vague claim that something unusual is occurring related to deaths and disappearances in national parks. Well, apart from the stories of people who got lost suddenly in familiar territory, but only temporarily and with full memory of the event, which means that they didnt qualify as Missing 411 cases. If a criminal group with the same unusual means and methods of abducting people in a forest setting is taking advantage of bad weather to kidnap and do god knows what with people in the same unusual ways, then the bad weather compromising searches should correlate more often with cases that contain other unusual elements to them than with normal cases of people going missing in a forest. Not only that, the details of her death, especially how she was found dead in a water tank on the roof of a hotel, mirrored the plot of a Japanese horror movie called Dark Water from 2002, remade in 2005 (Elisa died in 2013). Forests being bigger and unmarked could certainly be an issue, just like the number and type of local predators or overall crime rates in the area, and maybe thats something that should be statistically analyzed using data that I dont have at the moment (comparing forests where people go missing versus those where they dont go missing based on these criteria). Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four different countries. Former police detective David Paulides was initially brought on to investigate the circumstances around the many mysterious disappearances - here he presents the haunting true stories of hunters experiencing the unexplainable.Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four . There is mounting evidence that states of mind affect probability of external events, making it fluctuate. James McGrogan - Missing 411. How do you keep getting bodies into water without it being seen, ever? However, this only calls for a more thorough screening process for the cases to control for these possibilities. Its quite possible that the population of people who visit national parks differs significantly from the whole population of the given states or countries under normal circumstances. While phenomena of this type are not strictly speaking ruled out by theoretical physicists, they would at the very least expect them to be substantially more rare, if they were to occur strictly naturally. Especially since weird perception and memory issues are common among the Missing 411 cases. Its not at all hard to imagine that in this case, the person got suddenly kidnapped into a flying vehicle and stripped by some sort of non-human entities, was aware of it (which perhaps wasnt supposed to happen) and panicked, burned himself while trying to escape the vehicle or fight the captors, got a heart attack, and died. There are also plenty of weird, and weirdly specific, clothing-related instructions in the fairy lore, like that in order to ward them off, you should turn your clothing inside out. The dog returning back safely also makes sense in the context of human or other intelligent predation, since when someone is interested in a particular person as a target, they dont have any obvious reason to also hurt their dog (other than to make it run into the forest as a distraction). should always be prioritized over cases included on the basis of absence of evidence. Lets approach this like a normal social scientist would approach reviewing a students thesis. This doc centers on hunters. The U.K. study also suggests that the truly undeterminable deaths (called the sudden adult death syndrome there) can be incorrectly misdiagnosed as a different cause of death as much as two thirds of the time. And thats just the first step. Watch on. The reason why Im mentioning it is that he had his shirt missing and various articles of his clothing were improperly fastened, almost as if he was undressed and then dressed back in a hurry. They even mentioned a hunter explaining that some hunters follow bad weather intentionally to catch more prey. Oh and sorry about all this, if youve ever intended to go into a forest again. Paulides shares several perplexing mysteries and investigations. With all the insults out of the way, lets look at the profile points. This is why it seems very suspicious to me that in Missing 411 cases, the majority of people who are found alive have amnesia and only a minority reports something strange happening. Many serious paranormal investigators note the importance of the strange coincidence angle. Beyond the basic scientific considerations, its important to understand that we may be doing research here against an intelligent adversary, which complicates things. !- https://www.canammissing.com/missing-. The ability of any perpetrator to remotely confuse, lure, or in some sense mind control targeted people would also be consistent with the victims leaving essential items behind it would just be an induced brain fart. Assuming that Bigfoot doesnt exist, this is still a completely reasonable activity. On this note, I like Daves more recent approach of looking for almost-Missing 411 cases that are substantiated with hard evidence, like those included in the most recent documentary (featuring the Bigfoot audio recording and the predator photo). Then again, at this point, its not much more than entertaining fiction. Theres bound to be some sort of infrastructure for this, especially since it is a global phenomenon and since having the staff of the establishment where you want to disappear someone on your side or having infiltrated the school which your potential targets attend would make everything much easier. Once you come across one, you know that following it will get you back to civilization within at most a day. Overall, the whole dog connection is interesting, but not useful without other evidence. In either of these scenarios, the result will look the same. The available data that connects the water-related cases together (mainly the ones of students being found dead in water in some college cities) makes them somehow more inexplicable than the cases of people who got lost in a forest and were never found (cases in which all data is missing).
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